Atmospheric escape responds nonlinearly to XUV flux because of the rich heating and cooling processes involved in the upper atmosphere. Then how does the cosmic shoreline change with more realistic escape physics? Our updated shoreline incorporate:
- Stellar bolometric evolution. [1]
- Stellar X-ray [2] [3] and EUV evolution [4].
- Hydrodynamic escape results for different atmospheric compositions: CO2: Tian (2009); N2: Nakayama et al. (2022) and Chatterjee et al. (2026); and H2O: Johnstone et al. (2020)
More hydrodynamic simulations of secondary atmospheres would be incredibly valuable!
Our results suggest that more massive rocky planets are more resistant to atmospheric loss than predicted by the traditional cosmic shoreline, with encouraging implications for 55 Cancri e and other super-Earths.
Cosmic shoreline (GitHub)[Ji et al, 2025, ApJ]